Wednesday, January 6, 2016

Explaining Divergent Political Outcomes in Post-Colonial Central America: A Comparative Analysis of Democratization in El Salvador and Costa Rica




Explaining Divergent Political Outcomes in Post-Colonial Central America:

A Comparative Analysis of Democratization in El Salvador and Costa Rica


Introduction

                Following independence from Spain in the early nineteenth century, Latin American countries struggled with democratization.  Today, only three states in the region have consolidated democracies: Costa Rica, Uruguay, and Chile.[1]  Furthermore, only Costa Rica reached this political status prior to the beginning of the third wave of democratization in the 1970’s.  The other states in the region are either authoritarian or hybrid regimes.  Why did authoritarianism and praetorian politics become the dominant trends in Latin America following independence, and why is Costa Rica an exception to the rule?  Furthermore, why did Central American countries that were very similar to Costa Rica historically, culturally, economically, and geographically not follow the same path of political development?  To answer this question, I will compare and contrast the post-colonial histories of Costa Rica and El Salvador to understand why one country followed a gradual path to democracy and the other did not.    

                While discussing the possible answers to these questions, it is important to avoid oversimplifying the nature of Spanish colonial rule, the influence of the Catholic Church, and the nature of the region’s political culture after independence.  Political scientists such as Max Weber, Seymour Lipset, Samuel Huntington, and Francis Fukuyama made this mistake by claiming that Latin America struggled with democratization due to the conservative influence of the Catholic Church and the authoritarian, corporatist nature of Spanish rule.[2]  This cultural-determinist explanation, which is laden with cultural bias and a lack of scholarly rigor, cannot explain the great diversity of colonial political experiences throughout the Spanish empire nor can it account for the divergence in post-colonial outcomes.  Furthermore, this generalization wrongfully portrays the Catholic Church and the Spanish monarchy as monolithic and static institutions.  The claim here is not to dismiss the role of colonial history and religious institutions in the post-colonial development of Latin American countries but to recognize that colonial histories differed from one country to another depending on a plethora of different variables.  Both Costa Rica and El Salvador were Spanish colonial possessions on the eve of independence, and the great majority of their inhabitants were Catholic; however, the two countries diverged in their political trajectories throughout the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. 

                Furthermore, we should also avoid oversimplifying this analysis by focusing only on the negative ramifications of the economic and political influences of Western Europe and the United States following independence.  Post-colonial and dependency theorists such as E. Bradford Burns and Andre Gunder Frank have blamed problems with political and economic development in Latin America mainly on cash crop dependency and Western economic competition.[3]  Although it is true that both Costa Rica and El Salvador suffered from these problems, these variables had a more negative effect on Salvadorian politics and did not prevent Costa Rica from democratizing.   Each country in Latin America has had a unique relationship with Western Europe and the United States, so we should avoid oversimplifying the international influence on the region. 

                To explain Latin America’s struggles with democratization and the existence of outliers, I will rely instead on a model of collective action developed by the political scientist Charles Tilly, whose conception of collective action found a balance between structural materialism and cultural determinism while leaving some room for individual agency.[4]  According to Tilly, democratic consensus becomes more difficult when one group has extensively more power or the ability to mobilize resources than others and possess a different ethnic identity than those they rule over.   However, the more economic equality and social homogeneity that is found in a country, the more the conditions are conducive for democratization.  It is this framework that can best explain the differences in political development between Costa Rica and El Salvador. 

Using Tilly’s model, there are three independent variables that can potentially explain the different political outcomes following independence in Costa Rica and El Salvador: the nature of ethnic cleavages; the distribution of land; and foreign conflicts.  To prove the connection between the independent variables and the dependent variable, it is necessary to define and operationalize each them. 

 

The Dependent Variable: Democratization

                In order to compare and contrast Costa Rica and El Salvador’s political development, we first need to define and measure democratization.  There are several methods for doing this.  On the one hand, we can use Robert Dahl’s minimalist definition of democracy, which views a democratic polity as an oligopoly where elite factions compete peacefully for control of the state through free and fair elections.[5]  As long as citizens have full voting rights, access to competitive media outlets, civil liberties, and relatively equal treatment under the law, they can pressure elite factions to respond to their interests through vertical accountability.  However, this minimalist view of democracy ignores socio-economic factors that could strengthen the substance of the democratic polity such as the degree of economic development and social inclusion.[6]  Charles Tilly’s model of collective action shows that higher levels of socio-economic development will enable more actors to become involved in the political process; foster greater interaction between members of the polity; and enable more opportunities for consensus between competing factions within the state.[7]  The minimalist definition also ignores the issue of democratic consolidation, which Phillip Schmitter and Carsten Schneider define as the degree to which the actors in the political system see democracy as the only viable political system.[8]  They use a twelve part definition of democratic consolidation, which involves analyzing such factors as the existence of consecutive free and fair elections; the historical longevity of the democratic system; the population’s general satisfaction with the performance of the government; the degree of violence between political factions; and respect for the electoral results among the groups competing for power.  Consolidation is affected by the degree to which democratic norms are embedded historically in the political system and the culture.  According to Charles Tilly, political culture matters as it subconsciously influences how different organizations choose different types of collective action during moments of crisis. 

No matter which definition we use, Costa Rica scores better than El Salvador on almost every measure of political development over the last two centuries.  For the minimalist definition of democracy, we can measure this variable using Freedom House’s reports, which evaluates the level of democratization in a country on a scale of one to seven, and uses a combination of seven different variables that closely match Robert Dahl’s conception of democracy.  In 2015, both Costa Rica and Salvador scored as follows:

Freedom House Rankings[9]
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Overall Score (one being the most democratic)
1/7
2.5/7
The Electoral process (twelve is the highest score)
12/12
12/12
Political Pluralism and Participation (sixteen is the highest score)
15/16
14/16
Functioning of Government (twelve is the highest score)
10/12
9/12
Freedom of Expression and Belief (twelve is the highest score)
16/16
15/16
Associational and Organizational Rights
11/12
8/12
Rule of Law (sixteen is the highest score)
13/16
8/16
Personal Autonomy and Individual rights (sixteen is the highest score)
13/16
9/16

 

Measurements were similar throughout the late 1990’s and 2000’s.  As the 2015 results show, both Costa Rica and El Salvador recently had democratic elections that involved a plurality of different parties competing with each other for control of the legislature and the presidency.  Furthermore, individuals within each system have basic freedom of expression, including access to a free media and the internet.  However, El Salvador struggles with the rule of law.  According to the reports, the country has extensive problems with corruption, drug trafficking, judicial autonomy, and gang violence, making Salvador one of the most violent countries in the world.  Salvador also experienced a devastating civil war from 1979 to 1992, and the reconciliation process between the country’s left wing party Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front (FMLN) and the right wing land owning oligarchy, now represented by the Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA), has had mixed results as tensions remain between both sides.  The rights of unions are still suppressed as are the rights of indigenous minorities despite efforts at reform since the civil war.  The FMLN won peaceful elections in 2014, but it remains to be seen whether they can solve the country’s enormous problems with the rule of law and governance.  On the other hand, Costa Rica scores much better on these variables although like any other democracy reality is far from the ideal.  There are problems with government corruption, gang violence, and bias against ethnic minorities.  However, Costa Rica has far less problems with political violence and the rule of law than El Salvador.  The country does not even have a national army, which was disbanded in 1949 following a very brief civil war.  While we can label Costa Rica as a liberal democracy, El Salvador is a hybrid regime.

                However, this measurement of democracy neglects the socio-economic variables that make a democratic polity more substantive.  To measure these factors, we will use the World Bank’s and the United Nation’s Human Development Report’s statistics on development as well as the Global Competiveness Report’s rankings, which take into account factors such as economic efficiency and the quality of education: 

Measurements of Socio-Economic Development
Costa Rica
Salvador
World Bank: GNI per capita (2015)[10]
$10,120
$3,900
World Bank: Life Expectancy (2015)
80
72
World Bank: Ratio below poverty line of two dollars a day (2013)
20.7%
29.6%
Global Competiveness Report World Ranking (2014-15)[11]
51
84
World Bank: GINI Index (2013)
49.2
43.5
World Bank: Economic Growth Rate (2015)
4%/year
2%/year
Human Development Index (2015)[12]
.763
.662
World Bank: Internet Users per 100 people (2014)
49.4%
29.7%

 

The measurements indicate that Costa Rica has approximately two and a half times the average income of El Salvador; greater levels of human development in terms of life expectancy, education, and average earnings; and greater access to consumer goods such as computers and the internet.  The only variable Costa Rica scores worse on in comparison with El Salvador is the wealth gap between rich and poor.  Although Costa Rica historically scored better on this statistic prior to the 1980’s, in the last thirty years the wealth gap has risen drastically in both countries in part due to globalization.  Both states historically have suffered from overdependence on cash crops and have had difficulties with industrialization in the face of Western competition, which is why Costa Rica’s GNI per capita is much lower than the Western average.  However, Costa Rica has been able to diversity its economy in the last half century through eco-tourism and the production of software technology while El Salvador still remains highly dependent on its export-based agricultural sector.   Overall, Costa Rica has higher levels of socio-economic development, enabling the masses a greater capacity to engage in the political process.  It is probably not a coincidence that statistical indicators for socio-economic and political development in Uruguay and Chile are similar to Costa Rica whereas the statistical indicators in the other Central American republics are similar to El Salvador.

                The last factor in democratization to consider is consolidation.  Over the last two centuries, Costa Rica has had a very gradual transition towards democracy with only a few brief interludes of political violence, most of which ended in the strengthening of the democratic system.[13]  They have had two republics, the first of which was established in 1871.[14]  It was founded following the collapse of the Central American government in the 1830’s and several decades of soft authoritarian rule by a land owning oligarchy.  The first constitution limited participation to male adults who owned land.  During this time period, liberal reforms, including the creation of a more centralized state and a national infrastructure, took place in a relatively peaceful political environment.  A national road system, railways, modern ports, a public school system, and banks were created to take advantage of greater global demand for cash crops that require more capital investment such as coffee and bananas.  Although conservative land owners, or what Charles Tilly would call misers, resisted these reforms, they avoided conflicts with liberals, agreeing to compromise on gradual reforms.  Of course, this system did not give a voice to poor farmers who did not own their own land nor did most of Costa Rica’s growing urban population have a say in the political system.  This changed with the country’s second constitution, which was written in 1949 following a two month civil war and the rise of populist left wing movement over the previous two decades.  This constitution expanded participation to the masses and gave voting rights to women.  In the 1950’s and 1960’s, the state expanded its welfare and educational systems to accommodate demands from its growing urban population, which has become more literate and politically activate.  They have had peaceful transitions of power through democratic elections since this time period. 

 El Salvador has had a far more violent and turbulent history.   The country has had fifteen different constitutions since achieving independence from Spain.[15]  These constitutions were often proceeded by coup d’états, domestic conflict, and wars with foreign countries.  Most elections throughout El Salvador’s history involved significant electoral fraud by authoritarian leaders, many of whom came from the military.  Although the state eventually made liberal reforms by the late nineteenth century to construct a modern infrastructure and export capital intensive cash crops such as coffee in response to the changing conditions of the international economy, they did so following a long period of extensive violence.  Conservative land owners who opposed the creation of a stronger state, church leaders who opposed a modern educational system, and Mestizo peasants who tried to protect their traditional communal landholdings responded often with violent resistance to reforms.  Liberal proponents of a modern state won this political conflict not through the ballot box but through physically suppressing their opponents.  Moreover, throughout the twentieth century, the state has responded to left wing populist and communist movements with suppression and violence.  The Great Depression of the 1930’s and the oil crisis of the 1970’s caused the outbreak of wars and the overthrowing of governments as the elites found their power to coerce weaken.  The country’s latest constitution was written in 1983 in the midst of a civil war, and it remains to be seen whether El Salvador’s political system will fully consolidate into a democracy or whether the polarized political parties can cooperate to foster economic and political development. 

Historically, the differences in political development between Costa Rica and El Salvador have affected the quality of governance, which in turn have affected attitudes towards democracy in the population.  Citizens in Costa Rica have relatively higher preferences for democratic governance whereas preferences for this political system in El Salvador are much lower.[16]    While one has consolidated its democracy, the other has not.  Why is it that Costa Rica underwent a gradual process of democratization?  To answer this question, it will be necessary to define and operationalize each of the independent variables and show how they are interconnected with each country’s political development.

 

The First Independent Variable: Ethnicity

                  To understand deviations in our first independent variable ethnicity, it is necessary to discuss some important aspects of Spanish colonialism in Latin America.  When Spain conquered South and Central America following Columbus’  “discovery” of the New World in 1492, the Spanish elite of royal bureaucrats, conquistadors, priests, and merchants encountered a diversity of indigenous peoples.   Some regions were sparsely populated with hunter gatherers and semi-agriculturalists; other areas were densely populated and ruled by empires with complex political systems such as the Aztecs in Mexico and the Incas in Peru.[17]  Aided by what the historian Jared Diamond referred to as “Guns, Germs, and Steel,” the Spanish conquistadors were able to conquer the coastal regions of the continent quickly, but the manner in which they interacted with the native population differed depending on the region.[18]  In areas densely settled by indigenous peoples, diseases and warfare did not wipe out most of the population.  As a result, many Spanish male colonists intermarried with the natives, forming a new class of people called the Mestizo.  This created a racial hierarchy where those who had a pure Spanish ancestry, the Creoles, were usually on top; the Mestizos were in the middle; and the indigenous population were on the bottom.  In some instances where labor was scarce, slaves from West Africa and the Caribbean were imported although the Spanish outlawed slavery far earlier than other European governments.  In regions only thinly populated by the indigenous, the region was settled by European migrants, creating greater ethnic homogeneity in certain areas of Latin America.

                The Spanish interest in Latin America extended beyond mining and cash crops; many of the elite wanted to “civilize” the indigenous population by converting them to Christianity and instilling in them European values.[19]  Although the Spanish succeeded in spreading Catholicism and the Spanish language to most of their colonies over the following centuries, they did not completely wipe out the great variety of traditions of the indigenous peoples of South and Central America.  Among the Mestizo, what took place was a blending of Spanish and indigenous traditions.  While the Creole elite clung to what they saw as civility, the lower classes developed a culture of their own that further entrenched social class distinctions in certain parts of Latin America.  The elites were divided throughout the continent on how to deal with the lower classes throughout the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries.  While conservatives wanted to maintain their hegemonic and economic dominance over the indigenous by not investing in education or economic development, liberals were interested in assimilating the Mestizo and the indigenous into a single nation.  In turn, the lower classes often resisted, through peaceful and violent means, the elite’s attempts to suppress or change their culture.

Following independence, wherever these ethnic cleavages existed throughout Latin America, they intensified conflicts amongst the elite and between different social classes.[20]  The issues of racism and cultural assimilation made it far more difficult for conservatives to compromise with liberals during the nineteenth century on creating a stronger state and investing into economic development as it would involve spreading power, wealth, and knowledge to suppressed racial groups.  Furthermore, throughout the twentieth century, many conflicts between communist guerillas and the capitalist elite were not only fought over the distribution of wealth or the rights of peasants to maintain collective ownership of their land; it was a battle over the cultural values of the nation.  Left wing movements over the last half century such as the FMLN in Salvador, the Sandinista in Nicaragua, and the Zapatista in southern Mexico have sought to preserve their culture as well as fight for a more equitable distribution of wealth.  These cultural variables strengthened the ties between members of labor unions and peasant collectives while simultaneously increasing their opposition to the state.  Interestingly enough, actors within the Catholic Church have been divided over this conflict historically.  During the Cold War, bishops have tended to support the conservative elites while many priests have supported liberation theology, which gave religious justification to the struggle of left wing guerillas against the government. 

Costa Rica and Salvador had very different ethnic makeups following independence and this affected political development in both countries.  Today, approximately ninety percent of Costa Rica’s population consists of Creoles.[21]  The rest of the population is a mix of Mestizo, Indigenous, Chinese, and African peoples.  The reason for this is that Costa Rica was only sparingly populated by indigenous peoples in 1492.  In Salvador on the other hand, approximately ten percent of the population is Creole while the rest is mostly Mestizo as the country was more densely populated by indigenous peoples at the beginning of Spanish colonialization.  The problem in Salvador, Nicaragua, Guatemala, and Honduras is that the Creole minority has historically controlled most of the land, wealth, and political power.  Although Costa Rica’s minorities have experienced discrimination, their diversity and small numbers have prevented significant problems with ethnic-based violence.   The country has a stronger sense of national unity as a result.

The Second Independent Variable: Land Distribution

                Problems with ethnic conflict in Latin America often have been interconnected with the problems of economic inequality and unequal land distribution, creating coinciding social cleavages that have intensified political conflict throughout the continent.   When the Spanish conquered the Americas, the colonists and their Creole descendants monopolized control of the region’s mines and valuable land, exploiting indigenous labor wherever they were found in an economic system known as encomienda.  In most parts of Latin America, gaining access to land and capital required connections with the ruling elite, leading to the creation of political systems dominated by clientelism and economic inequality.  However, the degree of economic inequality and centralization of power was affected by numerous variables, including geography, the crops grown, the availability of indigenous labor, the nature in which each colony was settled, and the conditions of the international economy.  

                El Salvador represents an extreme example of how wealth and political power were concentrated in the hands of a small minority of Creole in the post-colonial period.  During the colonial era, El Salvador was the most densely populated part of Central America and contained some of the region’s best land.[22]  While approximately two thirds of the land was organized around peasant communes where staple crowns were grown, the elites used some of the best territory to grow the cash crop indigo, which required little capital investment to cultivate or transport.  The Mestizo and indigenous peoples were used as seasonal wage labor.  The elites monopolized the best land and maintained their political power from the wealth earned off the export of the cash crop.  Through the protection of the Spanish empire, the Salvadorian elite were able to secure this trade and maintain their control of the population for two centuries. 

However, the collapse of Spanish control over Latin America in the early nineteenth century following Napoleon’s invasion of Spain and the decline in importance of Indigo in the international economy led to the loss of Spanish protection and a decrease in cash crop revenue.[23]  This led to conflict throughout Central America and a realignment of the region’s economy.  Liberals in El Salvador wanted to switch to the production of coffee in the highlands and bananas in the lowlands to meet growing demand for these crops in Europe and America, but these cash crops—especially bananas—required extensive investments into new agricultural methods, roads, rail roads, and modern ports.[24]  Raising capital for these projects required raising taxes, borrowing money, establishing banks, and creating a more intrusive state.  Furthermore, it required destroying many peasant communes and modernizing the structure of the country’s labor system.  From the 1820’s to the 1870’s, liberals and conservatives fought over control of the state and the future of the economy.  The fast pace of technological development and a growing movement towards globalization eventually favored the liberals, who by the 1880’s succeeded in creating an economy that was highly dependent on coffee exports.  From the 1880’s to the 1920’s, El Salvador experienced a long period of relative political stability and economic growth as these new cash crops provided the government with extensive revenue, which they used to modernize the capital city with an electrical grid and paved roads.  The importing of modern medicine also led to a demographic boom. 

However, the modernization of El Salvadorian agriculture led to many peasants losing their land, creating extensive problems with unemployment and a growing wealth gap between rich and poor.  Approximately 350 families controlled over ninety percent of the country’s land by the beginning of the 1920’s.[25]  Since El Salvador struggled to industrialize in the face of Western competition, the country’s cities struggled to absorb the growing population.[26]  The great depression of the 1930’s led to a sudden drop in revenue from cash crops, which caused instability in Salvador’s economy and the rise of a communist movement in the country.  The government used force to suppress uprisings throughout against the state, but the loss of cash crop revenue meant political elites struggled to maintain control.  Although a new period of economic growth following the post-WWII boom in the 1950’s and the diversification of the country’s agricultural sector temporarily solved some of these problems, stagflation and the global oil crisis in the 1970’s led to another period of conflict in El Salvador that did not subside until 1992 following the end of the Cold War.  Although reforms have been passed in the last couple of decades to increase social welfare and expand the educational system, the country continues to have problems with over dependency on cash crops and an uneven divide in wealth between rich and poor.

                Costa Rica also suffered from problems related to an overdependence on their agriculture sector, but their colonial and post-colonial economic history was very different.  Unlike Salvador, Costa Rica was scarcely populated upon colonization by the Spanish and most of Costa Rica’s land was relatively poor in quality.[27]  Due to its geographical remoteness in Central America’s far south, few wealthy Spaniards were willing to risk moving into the region.  Instead, lower and middle class Spaniards who were desperate for land gradually populated the country, cultivating their own plots where they grew staple crops.  In Costa Rica during the colonial era, a class of small and medium sized land owners with few political connections to the Spanish monarchy dominated the economy.  Unlike El Salvador, a political culture of clientelism was not prevalent.  Ignored by the Spanish political elites due to the poor quality of the land, Costa Rica had a considerable amount of autonomy from the Spanish viceroy in Guatemala.  In the Costa Rican capital San Jose, a tradition of compromise developed among different oligarchic factions as no group of landowners had the power to monopolize control of the government.

                Upon independence, Costa Rica did suffer from problems with political stability as a result of the collapse of the Central American government, but its economy was not dependent on indigo so it did not suffer economically from the decline of the crop.[28]  Furthermore, a culture of political consensus prevented the outbreak of internal conflict in the country between liberals and conservatives.  Liberal reforms to invest in the production of coffee and the building of a modern infrastructure took place peacefully and gradually, and the country was always several steps ahead of its Central American neighbors to the north in terms of economic progress.  Infrastructure, education, and agriculture reforms took place without the violent conflict that its neighbors experienced.  Furthermore, the expansion of coffee and banana production did not involve the same type of massive displacement of indigenous labor as in El Salvador.  Costa Rica’s geographical remoteness meant that there was still a lot of uncultivated land available for capitalist farmers who sought to grow cash crops.  Furthermore, we don’t see the same type of wealth gap emerge between rich and poor as coffee was grown on medium sized land holdings and access to capital from private banks was available to a wider segment of the population.  Although the country did suffer from problems with political instability as a result of the 1930’s depression and the 1970’s oil crisis, the country suffered from far less political violence than Salvador and relied on legislative reforms to deal with socio-economic changes.

 

The Third Independent Variable: Foreign Conflict

                There is one large factor that has been left out of this model: the influence of international actors.  Since Central American states are very small in relation to the regional and global superpowers, they have had great difficulties defending their sovereignty against the interests of the United States, Great Britain, and Mexico in the past.[29]  Although the West has provided the region with modern technology and capital investment, the flooding of their markets with Western goods has weakened the reform efforts of liberals who have tried to promote industrialization.  This stalled the development of a larger middle class in both countries that could have created more equity in the political system, and it also created a dangerous dependency on the export of cash crops.  Furthermore, outside actors have frequently resorted to the use of political violence through direct or indirect means to influence Central American politics. 

In the case of El Salvador, the influence of foreign actors was far worse.  Frequent domestic conflict made it far easier for foreign powers to engage in proxy wars in the country, supporting one side in a civil war to gain influence.  During the middle of the nineteenth century, Great Britain and the United States engaged in proxy wars throughout Mexico and Central America, supporting political allies that would give them favorable trade deals.[30]  Britain’s Central American colony Belize had the region’s only significant port until the late nineteenth century, and the British were interested in trading finished goods for cash crops.  This meant that it was in Great Britain’s best interest to prevent liberals from coming to power in Central American states.  Threated by growing British influence, America tended to support liberal politicians in the region, including in El Salvador, with arms and capital.  One of the United States’ biggest fears was that a Western European country would gain control of a canal that would connect the Pacific and Atlantic oceans.  In 1903, the United States encouraged the wealthy families in Columbia’s Central American province Panama to rebel against the government and form their own state when the Columbian government refused to cooperate with America in constructing a canal.[31]  Furthermore, the United States invaded Nicaragua in 1912 and occupied the country for over twenty years to prevent Europeans from building a canal of their own in Central America.  Throughout the twentieth century, the United States also kept bases in neighboring Honduras, which they used to train pro-capitalist right wing movements like the Contra to fight left wing guerillas in Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Guatemala.    These Cold War proxy wars were particularly violent during the 1970’s and 1980’s. 

However, Costa Rica was not affected as much by foreign conflict.  The country has benefited from its relative geographic isolation in relation to the four other states in Central America.[32]  As a result, Costa Rica was able to distance itself from the disputes over borders and sovereignty that ripped apart Central America in the middle of the nineteenth century following the collapse of the Spanish American government.  Furthermore, Costa Rica’s relative political stability and its less valuable geopolitical location meant foreign actors had less opportunities and less of a willingness to interfere in the country’s affairs.  Moreover, since Costa Rica’s communist party was never a serious threat to take over the state in the twentieth century, the United States showed less interest in getting involved in its affairs during the Cold War.  Therefore, foreign actors had a more negative effect on El Salvador’s political stability historically, increasing economic inequality and animosity between political actors.

 

Conclusion

                There are several weaknesses with this study that need to be addressed. Although this paper has attempted to use Charles Tilly’s model of collective action to show that ethnicity, land distribution, and foreign conflict led to the divergence of political outcomes in Salvador and Costa Rica after independence from Spain, more comparative studies of Latin American countries are needed to test whether there is a connection between the independent and dependent variables.  Unfortunately, due to the dearth of case studies in Latin America and the plethora of variables, this is easier said than done.  Costa Rica was the only country to become a consolidated democracy before the third wave in the 1970’s, which means we can’t compare the country’s experience with any other.   However, what this study does show clearly is that Latin American countries have diverse political, economic, and social histories that cannot easily be generalized by cultural determinist arguments.  Although Latin America was affected by common trends that prevented the consolidation of democracy in most of the region throughout the nineteenth and twentieth century, each country has a unique history.  Costa Rica had a gradual transition to democracy that began in the nineteenth century despite the influence of Spanish colonization and Catholicism.

 

 


Work Cited Page

1. Bethell, Leslie.  Central America since Independence.  Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 1991.

2. Bunce, Valerie.  "Comparative Democratization: Big and Bounded Generalizations," Comparative Political Studies, 33(6-7), 2000: 703-34.

3. Burns, E. Bradford.  "The Modernization of Underdevelopment: El Salvador, 1858-1931,” The Journal of Developing Areas, 18(2), 1984: 293-316.

4. Collier, David and Steve Lavitsky.  “Democracy with Adjectives: Conceptual Innovation in Comparative Research,” World Politics, 49, April, 1997: 430-51.

5.  Diamond, Jared.  Guns, Germs, and Steel.  W.W. Norton: Great Britain, 1997. 

6. Erfani, Julie.  The Paradox of the Mexican State: Rereading Sovereignty from Independence to Nafta.  Lynne Rienner Publishers: Boulder, 1995.

7. Frank, Andre Gunder.  "The Development of Underdevelopment,” Monthly Review Press, 18(4), 1966:  99-108.

8. Fukuyama, Francis.  The Origins of Political Order.  Farrar, Straus, and Giroux: New York, 2011.

9. Goodman, Louis W, William M. LeoGrande, and Johanna Mendelson Forman.  Political Parties and Democracy in Central America.  Westview Press: Boulder, 1990.

10. Huntington, Samuel.  "The Clash of Civilizations?" Foreign Affairs, 72 (3), Summer, 1993: 22-49.

11. Lipset, Seymour M.  “The Social Requisites of Democracy Revisited: 1993 Presidential Address,” American Sociological Review, 59, 1994: 1-22.

12. Merkel, Wolfgang and Aurel Croissant. “Conclusions: Good and Defective Democracies,” Democratization, 11(5), 2004: 199-213.

13. Merkel, Wolfgang.  "Embedded and Defective Democracies," Democratization, 17(8), January, 2007: 33-58.

14. Millet, Richard, Jennifer S. Holmes, and Orlando J. Perez.  Latin American Democracy.  Routledge: New York, 2009.

15. Morlino, Leanardo.  "What is a Good Democracy," Democratization, 11(5), 2004: 10-32.

16. O'Donnell, Guillermo and Phillip Schmitter.  Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions about Uncertain Democracies.  John Hopkins University Press: Baltimore, 1986, 3-72.

17. Pop-Eleches, Grigore and Graeme B. Robertson.  "Structural Conditions and Democratization," Journal of Democracy, 26(3), 2015: 29-53.

18. Schneider, Carsten and Phillipe C. Schmitter.  "Liberalization, Transition, and Consolidation: Measuring the Components of Democratization," Democratization, 11(5), December, 2004: 59-90.

19. Tilly, Charles.  From Mobilization to Revolution.  Addison-Wesley: Great Britain, 1978.

20. Tilly, Charles.  "Processes and Mechanisms of Democratization," Sociological Theory, 18(1), 2000: 1-16.

21. Yashar, Deborah J.  Reform and Reaction in Costa Rica and Guatemala.  Stanford University Press: Stanford, 1997.




[1] Holmes, Jennifer.  "Democratic Consolidation in Latin America?" in Richard Millet, Jennifer S. Holmes, and Orlando J. Perez.  Latin American Democracy.  Routledge: New York, 2009, 5-20.
[2] Fukuyama, Francis.  The Origins of Political Order.  Farrar, Straus, and Giroux: New York, 2011; Huntington, Samuel.  "The Clash of Civilizations?" Foreign Affairs, 72 (3), Summer, 1993: 22-49; and Lipset, Seymour M.  “The Social Requisites of Democracy Revisited: 1993 Presidential Address,” American Sociological Review, 59, 1994: 1-22.
[3] Burns, E. Bradford.  "The Modernization of Underdevelopment: El Salvador, 1858-1931,” The Journal of Developing Areas, 18(2), 1984: 293-316; and Frank, Andre Gunder.  "The Development of Underdevelopment,” Monthly Review Press, 18(4), 1966:  99-108.
[4] For Tilly’s views on democratization, see Tilly, Charles.  "Processes and Mechanisms of Democratization," Sociological Theory, 18(1), 2000: 1-16; and for his views on mobilization, see Tilly, Charles.  From Mobilization to Revolution.  Addison-Wesley: Great Britain, 1978.
 
[5] Collier, David and Steve Lavitsky.  “Democracy with Adjectives: Conceptual Innovation in Comparative Research,” World Politics, 49, April, 1997: 430-51.
[6] Merkel, Wolfgang and Aurel Croissant.  “Conclusions: Good and Defective Democracies,” Democratization, 11(5), 2004: 199-213.
[7] Tilly, Ibid.
[8] Schneider, Carsten and Phillipe C. Schmitter.  "Liberalization, Transition, and Consolidation: Measuring the Components of Democratization," Democratization, 11(5), December, 2004: 59-90.
[9] “Freedom House: El Salvador,” https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/2015/el-salvador, 2015 and “Freedom House: Costa Rica,” https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/2015/costa-rica, 2015.
[10] “World Bank: El Salvador” http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/elsalvador, 2015; and “World Bank: Costa Rica,” http://data.worldbank.org/country/costa-rica, 2015.
[11] “World Economic Forum: Competiveness Rankings,” http://reports.weforum.org/global-competitiveness-report-2014-2015/rankings/, 2015.
[12] “International Human Development Indicators,” http://hdr.undp.org/en/countries, 2015.
[13] Carballo, Jose Luis Vega.  "Political Parties, Party Systems, and Democracy in Costa Rica," in Political Parties and Democracy in Central America, edited by Louis W. Goodman, William M. LeoGrande, and Johanna Mendelson Forman.  Westview Press: Boulder, 1990, 203-212.
[14] Yashar, Deborah J.  Reform and Reaction in Costa Rica and Guatemala.  Stanford University Press: Stanford, 1997.
[15] Cruz, Rodolfo Cerdas Cruz.  "Colonial Heritage, External Domination, and Political Systems in Central America," in Political Parties and Democracy in Central America, edited by Louis W. Goodman, William M. LeoGrande, and Johanna Mendelson Forman.  Westview Press: Boulder, 1990, 17-31.
[16] Holmes, Jennifer.  "Democratic Consolidation in Latin America?" in Millet, Richard, Jennifer S. Holmes, and Orlando J. Perez.  Latin American Democracy.  Routledge: New York, 2009, 5-20.
[17] Cruz, Rodolfo Cerdas Cruz.  "Colonial Heritage, External Domination, and Political Systems in Central America," in  Political Parties and Democracy in Central America, edited by Louis W. Goodman, William M. LeoGrande, and Johanna Mendelson Forman.  Westview Press: Boulder, 1990, 17-31.
[18] Diamond, Jared.  Guns, Germs, and Steel.  W.W. Norton: Great Britain, 1997. 
[19] Cruz, Ibid.
[20] Woodward, R.L.  "The Aftermath of Independence, 1821-1870," in Bethell, Leslie.  Central America Since Independence.  Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 1991, 1-36.
[21] Woodward, Ibid. 
[22] Woodward, Ibid.
[23] Cardaso, Ciro.  "The Liberal Era, 1870-1930," in Bethell, Leslie.  Central America Since Independence.  Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 1991, 37-68
[24] Cardaso, Ibid.
[25] Burns, Ibid.
[26] Rivas, Edelberto Torres.  "Crisis and Conflict, 1930 to the present," in Bethell, Leslie.  Central America since Independence.  Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 1991, 69-118.
[27] Woodward, Ibid.
[28] Cardaso, Ibid.
[29] Erfani, Julie.  The Paradox of the Mexican State: Rereading Sovereignty from Independence to Nafta.  Lynne Rienner Publishers: Boulder, 1995.
[30] Cardaso, Ibid. 
[31] Riveras, Ibid.
[32] Riveras, Ibid.